SaaS growth rates: What is happening in 2023?

The technology sector has had a turbulent few years. Amongst the turbulence, McKinsey estimate that the global SaaS market will continue to grow, from an estimated $3 trillion, to $10 trillion by 2030.  

A recent report by Chart Mogul (a subscription analytics platform) offered a number of insights and benchmarks for SaaS companies. We found the following take-outs of interest:

  1. SaaS revenue growth rates, which progressively declined since the peak in Q1 2021, stabilised during 2023.  This is supported by data from the SaaS Capital Index:
    • For top decile SaaS companies, annual recurring revenue (ARR) continues to double each year.  Top decile companies with:
      • $1-3m of ARR have annual growth rates of 192%
      • $3-8m of ARR have annual growth rates of 121%; 
      • $8-15m of ARR have annual growth rates of 110%; and
      • $15-30m of ARR have annual growth rates of 103%.
    • For the top quartile SaaS companies, ARR growth has been around 50-70% each year.  Top quartile companies with:
      • $1-3m of ARR have annual growth rates of 70%
      • $3-8m of ARR have annual growth rates of 63%; 
      • $8-15m of ARR have annual growth rates of 48%; and
      • $15-30m of ARR have annual growth rates of 60%.
    • On a monthly basis, top decile SaaS companies grow around 7-10% each month, whereas the top quartile SaaS companies see growth around 5-7% each month.
  2. New logo (ie new customer) acquisition has increased in 2023. The vast majority of SaaS companies with >$10m ARR increase ARR by growing their subscriber base, whereas <5% of SaaS companies grew predominately by increasing their average revenue per user.
  3. SaaS companies with >$5m in ARR rely on expansion revenue to aid growth. Within this segment, companies with higher revenue per user are able to upsell and cross-sell more efficiently, meaning a higher proportion of new revenue can be derived from expansion.
  4. Retention can be a growth driver.  As companies continue to review their tech stacks and complete ‘cost-out’ exercises, we are seeing lower customer retention rates than during the 2020 period.  However, SaaS companies with net revenue retention rates >100% grew by 54%, whereas SaaS companies with net revenue retention rates around 60% to 80% grew by just 12%.  It’s worth noting that this does not apply to B2C companies which generally see higher churn, offset in part by larger markets.
  5. Reactivations can be a growth driver.  Top quartile SaaS companies reactivate nearly a quarter of their churned customers.  Having efficient reactivation campaigns can yield strong results, as these customers tend to have a lower cost to re-acquire, as customers are familiar with the offering.
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